We publish every win AND every loss. Backtested with real market prices. No cherry-picked timeframes.
All results are backtested, not live. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full risk disclosure →
$10K fresh start each year · Stock-only · 700+ trades
Standard sizing (5% per position), $10K start. Compared to SPY Buy & Hold over the same period.
| YEAR | CONS. | STANDARD | AGGRESSIVE | S&P 500 | Standard vs S&P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | +10.5% | +17.8% | +23.7% | +12.0% | +5.8% |
| 2017 | +12.6% | +21.4% | +30.5% | +21.8% | -0.4% |
| 2018 | +12.6% | +21.6% | +31.1% | -4.4% | +26.0% |
| 2019 | +8.7% | +14.8% | +21.2% | +31.5% | -16.7% |
| 2020 | +5.7% | +9.1% | +13.3% | +18.4% | -9.3% |
| 2021 | +15.5% | +26.8% | +35.3% | +28.7% | -1.9% |
| 2022 | +0.7% | +1.1% | +1.5% | -18.1% | +19.2% |
| 2023 | +51.7% | +87.5% | +108.2% | +26.3% | +61.2% |
| 2024 | +49.0% | +84.6% | +129.9% | +25.0% | +59.6% |
| 2025 | +41.3% | +74.8% | +110.7% | +17.9% | +56.9% |
| 10-yr total | — | +1589% | — | +298% | +1291% 6/10 yrs |
Each year starts fresh at $10K. The scanner trails buy-and-hold in calm bull markets, but outperforms dramatically in volatile and down years where protection matters most.
| TIER | SIZING | MAX DD | WORST YR | ANN. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3%, 15 max | 10.2% | +0.7% 2022 | +17.6% |
| Standard | 5%, 15 max | 16.6% | +1.1% 2022 | +29.2% |
| Aggressive | 7%, 15 max | 18.8% | +1.5% 2022 | +39.8% |
75% of trades are winners with a 2.80 profit factor. Trade quality is the same across tiers. Only position sizing changes.
We're tracking forward-tested results in real-time and will publish them here as data accumulates. In the meantime, the 30-day money-back guarantee means you can verify the scanner yourself, risk-free.
Stock scanner included with Pro & Edge. 30-day money-back guarantee.
400+ tokens tracked · Full history · Includes 2020–2021 bull run
This is a scanner, not a signal service. We alert you to tokens likely to move in a given direction. You decide how to trade them. The numbers below are from a basic systematic approach we use for backtesting. Your actual results depend on your own strategy and risk management.
Full system: long alts in bull markets, short alts in bear markets, BTC overlay on idle cash.
Full 2020–2026 view (Long + Short), Conservative tier (1x alt / 1x BTC). The 2020–2021 bull run dominates the chart. Switch to "Current Cycle" for recent results.
| TIER | WIN RATE | AVG WIN | AVG LOSS | W/L RATIO | PROFIT F. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 55% | +28.0% | -12.0% | 2.33x | 3.50 |
| StandardREC | 53% | +56.0% | -26.0% | 2.15x | 2.97 |
| Aggressive | 55% | +70.0% | -33.0% | 2.12x | 2.87 |
Average winners are 3–4x the size of average losers across all tiers. Fat-tailed crypto returns drive the high avg win. Median winners are ~12-14%, but outlier trades regularly exceed +100%.
| YEAR | CONS. | STANDARD | AGGRESSIVE | BTC | Standard vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020Outlier | +456.5% | +1153.7% | +2613.9% | +303.2% | +850.5% |
| * COVID recovery + DeFi summer. Shorts active in March crash | |||||
| 2021Outlier | +391.6% | +1018.5% | +2636.1% | +59.7% | +958.8% |
| * Alt season + bear-market shorts during May-July crash | |||||
| 2022 | +201.5% | +411.1% | +756.6% | -64.3% | +475.4% |
| * Shorts generated massive alpha while BTC crashed 64% | |||||
| 2023 | +193.7% | +374.2% | +707.8% | +155.4% | +218.8% |
| 2024 | +241.5% | +465.2% | +755.5% | +121.1% | +344.1% |
| 2025 | +67.6% | +112.0% | +167.8% | -6.3% | +118.3% |
| * Shorts carried portfolio while longs struggled | |||||
| Cumulative | — | +4072156% | — | +1116% | +4071040% 6/6 yrs |
Returns compound year-over-year. Each year's gains become next year's starting capital. Long + Short mode: long alts in bull, short alts in bear, BTC overlay on idle cash.
The 2020–2021 bull run produced extreme outlier returns that inflate compounded totals dramatically. In 2021, the Aggressive tier backtested at +2636%. We show them for transparency, but the "Current Cycle" view reflects realistic expectations.
Backtested monthly returns using our default systematic approach. Your results depend on which alerts you trade and your own strategy.
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 0% | +12% | +49% | -8% | +2% | +10% | +2% | +103% | +18% | +15% | +8% | +6% | +457% |
| 2021 | +34% | +57% | -4% | +8% | +19% | +28% | -2% | +0% | +12% | +22% | +6% | +6% | +391% |
| 2022 | +25% | +2% | -3% | +20% | +39% | +12% | -3% | +4% | +5% | +14% | +2% | +7% | +202% |
| 2023 | -4% | +13% | +6% | +6% | +2% | +12% | +8% | +20% | +3% | +3% | +17% | +32% | +194% |
| 2024 | +5% | +59% | +23% | -2% | +16% | +1% | -0% | -0% | +2% | -5% | +33% | +14% | +242% |
| 2025 | +1% | +18% | +1% | +1% | -7% | +3% | +4% | +6% | -2% | +30% | -1% | +4% | +68% |
| 2026 | +13% | +4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | +17% |
Three independent strategies working together on shared capital.
*Leverage used per position for the selected simulation portfolio. The Conservative tier uses no leverage.
Approximate decomposition. Components may not sum exactly to total due to compounding.
Closed alerts from our scanner. Per-trade returns shown. Each uses ~5% of capital, so a +77% winner adds ~3.9% and a -80% loser costs ~4%.
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