The Rational Blog

TRI has two simple rules for investing. Rule #1: Follow an algorithmic system that produces a 2:1 reward for risk and is correct 60-70% of the time. Rule #2: Never risk over 5% of your stake/capital on any one investment idea. Following these two rules mean you’re always following a trading setup and plan, and you&r... Read More

As you dive into the world of money management, investing and trading, you’ll uncover the concept of ‘Risk’. Down the rabbit hole of Risk Management, you realize it’s the giant sleeping beast of investing. The Little old Lady strategy is perfect if you want to learn how to invest in cryptoc... Read More

Crypto has enjoyed a nice rally recently with Bitcoin and Ethereum basically charging straight up since bottoming on July 20th, 2021. Of the two, Ethereum appears to be the strongest with only two red candles over the last twenty days and an 80+% gain. Most other crypto names have been in the green as well and in general price action has been largely bullish.   Read More

A question I get asked many times by people new to trading is how do we use the long/short position tool in Tradingview to assess our risk and properly size our positions? This concept is important for ensuring proper risk management and framing our trades with pre-defined entry and exit levels. In this tutorial I walk you through how and why I use this tool as an integral part of my trading ac... Read More

Crypto caught a bid over the last few days and Bitcoin has been on a wild ride launching 38% off it’s recent July 20th lows up to $40k before being stopped in its tracks a couple hours ago and sharply pulling back to $37k where it sits right now. False reports that Amazon would begin accepting BTC fueled the rally while there was lots of talk on twitter about supply shock and short squeez... Read More

It’s hard to believe we’re already in Q3 of 2021 but here we are and it’s time to talk Sector Rotation again. Each quarter we look at the first two weeks of the S&P market activity by sector to get a look into where institutional money managers will be directing capital for the next few months. Because these money managers need to allocate capital at the beginning of each... Read More

My cautious optimism on the bullish side of BTC is further waning this week as the bearishness I discussed last week has continued to develop confirmation. The potential daily M has now been confirmed, albeit with only a couple tails dipping down below the breakdown level. TRi indicators are also now flashing bearish signals with M structure in OBV, MACD and RSI all confirmed. While we did put... Read More

Bitcoin has gone sideways and is sitting about $1000 below where it was at the time of last week’s post. Not a lot has changed but it did manage to confirm the W before pulling back down below that breakout level. Now we’re looking at a potential M in price structure. The Davo mentioned last wee... Read More

Bitcoin had an uppy weekend making about 10% gains since Friday and it’s up about 20% after dipping to a new low last Tuesday. Currently price is sitting at 35k and does have a potential daily W that will breakout at $35,517 on Bitstamp. The new low from last week did set the stage for potential bullish divergences that we’re now seeing in both RSI and MACD. If you’re familiar... Read More

I’ve been asked by several TRi members lately how I can keep track of so many stock and crypto ideas. Between my own portfolio and names I’m following the number of assets I’m tracking adds up fast. My stock list currently has 400 names on it and then there’s crypto on top of that. It can be time consuming and overwhelming to keep it all together so I’m constantly... Read More